Interview on predictive maintenance

Andrea Gillhuber,

"Predictive maintenance holds great potential"

Predictive maintenance will have a major impact on traditional service culture, if not revolutionize it. Simon Noggler, IoT expert and Senior Business Consultant at the consulting and software company DoubleSlash, is convinced of this. After all, according to McKinsey, predictive maintenance can reduce downtimes by up to 50 percent. A conversation about the value creation potential of predictive maintenance.
Predictive maintenance relies on anticipatory action. To this end, the current status data from condition monitoring is enriched with additional information. © DoubleSlash

SCOPE: Mr. Noggler, what is the difference between condition monitoring and predictive maintenance?

Simon Noggler, IoT expert and Senior Business Consultant at DoubleSlash. © DoubleSlash

Simon Noggler: Condition monitoring refers to the systematic monitoring of machines and systems. Data on the actual situation is recorded and evaluated for this purpose. It serves as a basis for intervening if something is not working as desired. Condition monitoring is therefore reactive.

Predictive maintenance, on the other hand, relies on anticipatory action. To this end, the current status data from condition monitoring is enriched with additional information. For example, on average consumption, wear and tear and the expected service life of machines and their components. But also on operating conditions such as temperature, humidity or other circumstances that affect wear and service life. As a rule, data is also recorded that shows how the machine behaves in the application. Continuous analysis of this data allows predictions to be made about the expected development, including statements about when a component should be replaced.

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SCOPE: Why is predictive maintenance not yet very widespread in companies?

Noggler: The prerequisite for predictive maintenance is the networking of machines, plants and systems - keyword IoT. And as we all know, not too many companies are really implementing IoT consistently yet. And when they do, there is often a lack of data from the past. However, this is important in order to be able to assess future developments well. The more empirical data, the more accurate the forecasts. Another point is that when it comes to predictive maintenance for mass-market products for end customers, the database has simply been lacking until now. This is currently being created in the automotive industry, for example, which is pushing ahead with the networking of vehicles. However, relatively few e-bikes or freezers are still networked, to name just two examples.

What's more, predictive maintenance relies on large amounts of data. However, keeping this data has been quite expensive up to now. This has only recently changed, mainly due to economies of scale. In addition, until recently there were hardly any standardized predictive maintenance software solutions. These are now gradually coming onto the market and are giving the topic of predictive maintenance additional momentum because they lower the entry threshold and the overall cost.

SCOPE: What requirements must a company fulfill in order to introduce predictive maintenance?

Noggler: The first prerequisite is, of course, networking. Then the business cases have to fit. The faster the costs are amortized, the easier it is for companies to introduce predictive maintenance. It is also essential that the company is able to implement predictive maintenance on a day-to-day basis. Today's service processes have grown without predictive maintenance, so they need to be rethought. This can lead to the development of completely new business models. The value creation potential of predictive maintenance is undoubtedly high. If you want to make the most of it, you need to adapt your organizational and service structures to the new possibilities.

SCOPE: What role do new technologies such as big data analytics, artificial intelligence and machine learning play in this?

Noggler: I'm cautious about artificial intelligence, we're still a few steps too early. Big data analytics, on the other hand, is what makes predictive maintenance possible in the first place. And machine learning components help to identify patterns and derive appropriate measures. In short, both technologies play a key role in predictive maintenance.

SCOPE: How and in which areas does predictive maintenance demonstrate its advantages?

Noggler: Where you can't and don't want to afford system and machine downtime. For example, in production lines where downtime is really expensive. And where the service life of machines is essential for their amortization. Wind turbines, for example, are only worthwhile if they produce a certain amount of energy over a defined period of time. If they break down before then, the entire business case can quickly collapse.

SCOPE: What are the benefits for companies that work with predictive maintenance?

Noggler: According to McKinsey, predictive maintenance can halve plant and machine downtimes and reduce maintenance costs by 20 to 40 percent. Predictive maintenance also increases the reliability of machines. This allows manufacturers to extend their warranty periods, for example. And they gain in productivity. This ensures greater customer satisfaction in the long term - and makes leasing models more profitable.

SCOPE: How much effort does it take to implement predictive maintenance in a company from scratch?

Noggler: You shouldn't fool yourself, this is definitely a big project. A lot of sensor technology is needed to network the machines. And systems that collect and process the data have to be installed. The interaction between IT and specialist departments is also important in order to draw the right conclusions from the data and derive the appropriate measures. And, of course, you have to bear in mind that predictive maintenance will logically also change the service processes in the company.

SCOPE: What advice would you give to companies that want to introduce predictive maintenance?

Noggler: First of all, they should clarify which business cases they want to start with and which are likely to bring the greatest benefit. And they should actively involve the teams that are involved. Ultimately, it's also about developing new ideas and identifying business areas that are made possible by predictive maintenance. It is also helpful to implement a prototype together with a pilot customer using a lean approach. Important: Consult your data protection officer. After all, vast amounts of data are collected and processed here. And it is usually not clear at the start of the project exactly how and for what purpose this data will be used. It usually makes sense to involve a service provider with expertise in the field of predictive maintenance. They bring the necessary know-how in-house and, with their experience, can often act as a bridge builder between the specialist departments and IT.

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