Precious metals
Silver, gold and platinum at a glance
Heraeus Precious Metals publishes its precious metals forecast for the first time in cooperation with the SFA Oxford. The report gives an outlook for 2018 and provides background information on the price trends of precious metals.
"If you want to avoid making the wrong decisions, you have to understand the market better than the rest of the market participants," says Hans-Günter Ritter, Head of Global Trading at Heraeus. The market insights and analyses that the provider of industrial precious metals services has compiled together with SFA Oxford are intended to help with this understanding. In addition to gold, silver and platinum, the experts also analyze palladium, rhodium, ruthenium and iridium.
The gold price rose by 12% in 2017. Heraeus expects the US dollar to strengthen again over the course of the year, which should reverse the current upward trend in the gold price. The expected decline in the supply of liquidity from central banks and rising government bond yields speak in favor of this. On the other hand, the political conflicts in Korea and the Middle East are likely to have a supportive effect. "Gold therefore remains a safe haven for investors," concludes the analysts.
As the price of silver is linked to the price of gold, Heraeus expects prices to fall over the course of the year. Although industrial demand for silver grew slightly in 2017, mainly driven by the rapidly growing photovoltaic industry. This trend is likely to continue in 2018, but will not be sufficient to provide any impetus of its own.
"The market conditions for platinum will improve in 2018," predicts Heraeus Precious Metals. Demand from the jewelry industry is likely to increase, while the decline in consumption due to the diesel scandal in the automotive industry will level off.
The palladium price is stabilizing at the current high level: In recent years, palladium has benefited from strong growth in the automotive industry, which accounts for 80% of demand. Due to the loss of tax benefits in China, the most important automotive market, and weaker growth in the US market, growth is likely to level off significantly. cs









